If In Doubt, Do Nowt
Let’s talk about the most powerful move in investing that nobody in the financial industry wants to admit is a move at all: doing absolutely nothing.
“If in doubt, do nowt” might sound like something your gran said when you were considering a questionable haircut in 2003, but it is possibly the most valuable investing wisdom you will ever encounter, and here’s the kicker - it is the exact opposite of what every single part of the financial services industry is built to make you do.
Why Doing Nothing Feels Wrong
Doing nothing feels rubbish, and it’s supposed to. Every app notification, every screaming headline, every mate down the pub telling you about his latest trade is engineered to make inaction feel like negligence - the market’s up so you should buy before you miss out, the market’s down so you should sell before it gets worse, or actually should you be buying the dip, quick, decide now, before it’s too late. This is precisely why most people underperform. They’re so busy doing things that they never stop to ask whether doing things is actually making them any money. It usually isn’t.
The Maths Backs Up Being Boring
Here’s a fact that upsets a lot of people: the best-performing investors in Fidelity’s accounts were dead. Second best were people who’d forgotten they had accounts. Because they weren’t logging in every Tuesday morning and making adjustments, they weren’t selling on scary headlines, they weren’t piling into hot tips - they were just invested, quietly, doing nowt, and it turns out that doing nowt is brilliant for long-term returns. Study after study shows that frequent traders underperform those who don’t, because every time you rebalance on a hunch or sell because you’re nervous you are in all probability making yourself poorer, and the evidence is pretty unambiguous on this.
What “Do Nowt” Actually Means
To be clear, doing nowt doesn’t mean never investing or ignoring your portfolio forever - that would be daft. It means that when you’re unsure, the default is to maintain, because if you can’t articulate a clear rational reason to trade, your portfolio is fine as it is and doesn’t need constant tinkering. It isn’t a Ferrari, it’s a boring wealth-building machine that works best when you leave it alone.
It also means recognising that inaction is itself a decision, and often a good one. Not selling during a crash is an active choice to stay invested. Not buying something you don’t understand is an active choice to avoid invisible risk. And waiting for clarity is entirely valid: if you can’t work out whether something is cheap or expensive, wait until you can. The market will still be there next week, next year, and the decade after that.
The Real Cost of Doing Stuff
Every time you trade, you’re paying - not just in dealing fees, though those add up faster than a round at a northern pub on a Saturday night, but in spreads, taxes, opportunity cost, and the mental energy of worrying about it for the next three months. Let’s say you’ve got a decent portfolio and you’re convinced the market’s about to tank, so you sell - congratulations, you now have to be right twice: once about the market falling, and once about when to get back in. Most people get at least one of those wrong, usually both, and end up worse off than if they’d put the kettle on instead. Or you see everyone losing their minds about some AI stock, sell your boring index funds, and buy the hot thing - at which point you’ve concentrated your portfolio, increased your risk, and bet that you know something the collective wisdom of millions of investors doesn’t. Bold strategy.
When Doing Nowt Is Worth Its Weight
During a crash, when everyone’s panicking and your portfolio is down 20% and your brain is screaming at you to get out - this is precisely when doing nowt is most valuable. Markets recover. They always have. Your job is simply to stay in the room.
When something is suddenly “hot” - Bitcoin up 500%, GameStop going mental, your cousin made a fortune on a penny stock from a WhatsApp group - do nowt. By the time something is trending on your phone or being discussed down the pub, you’re almost certainly late to the party and early to the hangover. And when someone’s pitching a complicated product you can’t explain to your nan in plain English, or when your emotions are running hot - angry, terrified, excited - wait until you feel boring and rational again before you do anything. Your portfolio will still be there, and you’ll almost certainly be glad you didn’t act on whatever you were feeling at eleven on a Wednesday night.
The Hardest Part
The genuinely difficult bit about doing nowt is that it requires confidence in what you already own, which means you needed to have actually thought about your strategy in the first place. If you don’t know why you bought something, you’ll have no idea whether to keep it.
This is why having a plan matters - not a complicated spreadsheet with Greek letters, just a basic working understanding: I’m in global equities because I believe productive businesses create value over time, and I’m prepared to hold through volatility. With that foundation, doing nowt becomes almost automatic. Market’s down 15%? Plan says hold. Someone’s raving about crypto? Plan says diversified equities. Feeling anxious? Plan already accounts for this. Do nowt.
The Social Pressure to Be Seen Doing Something
Nobody tells you this bit: doing nowt is socially awkward. When your mates are swapping trading stories at the weekend, “I’ve done nothing with my portfolio in three years” sounds like you’ve given up, like you’re not in the game. But boring works, boring compounds, and boring doesn’t lose you money on a daft trade because you were sat on the sofa on a Tuesday night with the app open and nothing good on telly. Warren Buffett’s strategy can be summarised as buying good businesses and doing nowt for decades. Index fund investors do nowt by design. The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund is so inactive their annual meeting probably finishes in time for lunch. None of them are embarrassed about it.
When You Actually Should Do Something
Right, let’s not be daft. Regular contributions - adding money consistently - isn’t trading, it’s building wealth, so keep doing that. If your allocation has drifted significantly, not because markets moved 2% but because they’ve moved 20% and you’re badly overweight in something, rebalance back to your targets - that’s maintenance, not meddling. If something genuinely has changed in your life, you’re closer to needing the money, your goals have shifted, adjust accordingly. But “I read a scary article” isn’t a life change, and neither is “I feel a bit nervous today.”
The Bottom Line
The financial industry makes money when you do stuff - trading platforms, active fund managers, advisors who churn portfolios, financial media manufacturing urgency - they all need you busy, active, and slightly anxious. You make money by being patient and boring, by having a plan and trusting it, and by recognising that most market movements are noise, most “opportunities” are traps, and most impulsive actions are mistakes in the making.
So next time you feel the itch to trade, ask yourself honestly: am I acting because I have a clear rational reason, or because sitting still feels uncomfortable? If it’s the latter, you’ve just identified the perfect moment to do absolutely nowt, and your future self will thank you for it while looking at a portfolio that actually grew because you had the discipline to leave it alone.
The best investors aren’t the busiest ones, they’re the patient ones, the boring ones, the ones who do nowt and let time do the heavy lifting. And that, frankly, is about as close to investing genius as most of us will ever need to get.
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I think this is very good advice.
The exception to the rule is if you lose conviction in the long term prospects of a business. In that scenario it's better to act quickly rather than wait in my experience.
I'm very much of this mindset now, any time in the past I've tinkered around or jumped to a conclusion, it's typically been a learning curve.
I do think having such easy access to news, data, statements etc is a blessing and a curse at the same time. It can make investors bolt into action when, as suggested, they should bide their time.
Great read by the way 👍🏼